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DFW Leads 89% Jump as CRE Deals Top $182B

Fueled by a red-hot Dallas market, U.S. CRE investment surged in the first half of the year.

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Good morning. Commercial real estate deal activity roared back in H1 2025, with a 25% jump in sales volume—thanks to a booming Dallas-Fort Worth market and renewed confidence in multifamily and office sectors.

Today’s issue is brought to you by Agrippa—an AI-powered platform that strategically connects commercial real estate capital seekers with capital providers.

🎙️This week on No Cap podcast, Craig Deitelzweig of Marx Realty reveals how “hotelizing” office buildings is unlocking $50+ PSF rent premiums and rewriting the rules of tenant experience.

Market Snapshot

S&P 500
GSPC
6,238.01
Pct Chg:
-1.12%
FTSE NAREIT
FNER
753.55
Pct Chg:
-0.59%
10Y Treasury
TNX
4.216%
Pct Chg:
-0.144
SOFR
30-DAY AVERAGE
4.303%
Pct Chg:
-0.00
*Data as of 08/01/2025 market close.

DEAL ACTIVITY

CRE Investment Sales Reignite, Led by Dallas and Multifamily Surge

Fueled by a red-hot Dallas market, U.S. CRE investment surged in the first half of the year.

By the numbers: Investment sales hit $182.4B, up 25% YOY, with nearly 12,500 transactions—a 15% increase. Still, annualized totals point to a potential 1% dip in dollar volume and 7% drop in sales count vs. 2024. But Avison Young expects a stronger second half, following a sluggish Q1 rebound.

Leading the way: DFW topped the nation with $13.5B in sales—up 89% YOY and 57% more than San Francisco. Multifamily drove growth with $6.3B across 153 deals (up 140% and 90%), while development site volume jumped 681%, even as deal count fell—pointing to rising land prices.

Signs of life: Office activity picked up in New York, L.A., and D.C., with a quarter of NYC deals going to end users. All three of the largest U.S. office deals were in California and acquired by occupiers—a vote of confidence in long-term usage.

Multifamily momentum: 2025 deliveries are expected to hit a record high, but 2026 starts could fall over 50% due to high costs, tariffs, and oversupply fears. Major metros like Chicago, L.A., and NYC remain tight, with <5% vacancy.

➥ THE TAKEAWAY

The bigger picture: Private buyers still lead, but institutional capital is returning in markets like DFW, D.C., and Denver (41% of H1 volume), as rising multifamily demand and owner-user office deals signal early signs of recovery.


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✍️ Editor’s Picks

  • Capital playbook: Discover the proven strategies for accessing your share of the $7 trillion retail capital opportunity before your competitors do without adding operational headaches. (sponsored)

  • Steady fundamentals: Despite economic headwinds from tariffs and policy shifts, US CRE fundamentals remain stable, with pockets of strength in office, multifamily, and data centers.

  • Delinquency climb: The US CMBS delinquency rate rose to 7.23% in July 2025, its fifth straight monthly increase, driven primarily by a 24 bps uptick in multifamily distress.

  • Debt diversification: Middle-market and CRE CLOs are becoming key private credit tools, offering yield-hungry investors access to diversified business loans and transitional real estate. 

  • Profit recovery: Real estate brokerages are seeing improved profitability in 2025, with May’s EBITDA margin hitting a 12-month high of 3.5%. 

  • Development drag: New tariffs on building materials and tighter immigration enforcement are set to raise construction costs and labor shortages.

🏘️ MULTIFAMILY

  • Building benefits: New housing construction, especially in high-supply metros, has been most effective at slowing rent growth for older, more affordable apartments. 

  • Boise bump: Multifamily rents in Boise hit their highest level in nearly three years in Q225, as slowing supply and strong absorption drove up occupancy.

  • Preservation play: Horning’s acquisition of a 288-unit Hyattsville apartment complex marks its largest deal ever and a strategic shift toward preserving affordable housing.

🏭 Industrial

  • Pipeline reset: After years of record-setting industrial construction, 2025 marks a return to pre-pandemic supply levels. 

  • Robot revolution: Amazon has deployed its 1 millionth warehouse robot and is pouring over $32B into automation, data centers, and same-day delivery infrastructure. 

  • Platform buildout: Cresa has launched a new data center division led by a longtime Newmark executive, signaling a strategic move into one of CRE’s fastest-growing sectors. 

  • Data scaling: Equinix plans to spend up to $5B annually through 2029 on data center development, doubling down on enterprise AI demand.

🏬 RETAIL

  • Fur real: High-tech veterinary clinics are filling empty retail spaces as rising pet ownership and shifting generational attitudes drive demand for premium animal healthcare.

  • Property haul: Agree Realty shelled out nearly $76M for a 10-property, single-tenant retail portfolio spanning five states.

🏢 OFFICE

  • Dallas deal: Cousins Properties acquired The Link, a 292K SF Class A office tower in Uptown Dallas, for $218M—the metro’s largest office deal so far in 2025.

  • Plano push: Insurance brokerage Brown & Brown has leased 41K SF at KBS’ Legacy Town Center in Plano, further reinforcing the North Dallas suburbs’ role in sustaining the Metroplex office market.

  • That's a wrap: Tishman Speyer is offloading Maple Plaza for over $200M, wrapping up its Beverly Hills office selloff.

  • Medical squeeze: Medical office building sales hit a nine-year low in Q225, even as demand and occupancy climb to record highs.

🏨 HOSPITALITY

  • Luxury resilience: Hotel sales dipped in H125 amid geopolitical unrest and economic uncertainty, but luxury assets outperformed economy properties as high-income travel demand held steady.

  • Travel trends: US hotel performance stabilized after two weeks of declines, with leisure demand and concert-driven weekends offsetting weak midweek business travel.


A MESSAGE FROM AIRGARAGE

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More income, fewer complaints, and a smoother operation—all from a smarter parking platform.

*This is a paid advertisement. Please see the full disclosure at the bottom of the newsletter.


📈 CHART OF THE DAY

Texas leads the nation in reshoring gains for 2025 with over 40,000 jobs, followed by a strong showing from southeastern states like South Carolina, Mississippi, and Alabama, as manufacturers seek pro-business environments and lower costs.


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