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Top Markets for Multifamily Investors in 2024
Nashville, Phoenix, and Austin were the top US cities for multifamily deals in 2024, thanks to their affordability and population growth.
Good morning. Nashville, Phoenix, and Austin are the top US cities for multifamily investment in 2024, thanks to their post-pandemic affordability, economic diversity, and reliable population growth.
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Market Snapshot
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MARKET INSIGHTS
Top Markets for Multifamily Investors in 2024
As interest rates decline, multifamily investment is picking up, and a new report highlights the best places to invest.
Leading markets: According to the 2024 Multifamily Opportunity Matrix by Arbor-Chandan, Nashville, Phoenix, and Austin have emerged as the top three markets for multifamily investment.
Zoom in: Nashville takes the top spot, bolstered by favorable tax policies, a 1.5% population growth rate (triple the national average), and a low 2.5% unemployment rate. Phoenix comes in second, driven by a 3.1% jobless rate and a booming semiconductor sector. Austin ranks third, maintaining 2%+ population growth for 13 years, a youthful renter base, and no state income tax.
The runner-ups: Affordable Midwest cities like Indianapolis, Kansas City, and Columbus are also seeing a boost, fueled by migration to more cost-effective regions. Denver led the nation in per capita multifamily lending from July 2023 to June 2024, at $136.85 per person, followed by Columbus and Phoenix. Other strong contenders include Jacksonville, Dallas, Raleigh, and San Antonio.
Affordability rankings: Oklahoma City ranked as the most affordable market, with average rents at $1,366/month, allowing households earning $54,624 to avoid rent burden. In contrast, higher-cost cities like New York, San Jose, and San Francisco require six-figure incomes to maintain the same rent-to-income balance.
➥ THE TAKEAWAY
Looking ahead: As multifamily investors chase growth, it’s clear that affordability, economic resilience, and migration trends are reshaping the map—recrowning emerging Sun Belt and Midwest markets as the hotspots for smarter capital deployment.
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✍️ Editor’s Picks
Back on top: Manhattan's CRE market saw $3.2B in sales volume and 80 transactions in Q3 alone, with Avison Young predicting an overall 16% increase by the end of the year.
M&A moves: CoStar Group (CSGP) acquired startup Visual Lease for $272.5M to enhance lease management solutions and analytics database integration.
Building blocks: New research from the Atlanta Fed suggests that streamlining permitting processes could help ease the U.S. housing supply shortage and potentially lower rents.
Sinking Cohen: Charles Cohen is facing down a $187M guarantee claim by Fortress, and is now risking foreclosure on several assets including theaters, hotels, and his yacht.
🏘️ MULTIFAMILY
Ugly numbers: NY Community Bank (NYCB) still faces financial strain after reporting a 990% YTD increase in delinquent multifamily loans totaling $1.5B.
Age-old problem: NYC's famous (and infamous) housing market still faces limited new construction. Although new building filings were up 10% in Q3, they are still 43% below the long-term average.
Affordable transformation: Ethos Real Estate acquired San Mateo's Hillsdale Garden Apartments for $252.4M, converting 697 market-rate units to affordable housing.
Making waves: PMG acquired a $19.2M co-op at 900 Intracoastal Drive in Fort Lauderdale to build a 44-unit Sage Intracoastal Residences.
Healthy homes, happy hearts: The NRP Group’s new Fort Worth development, Thrive on Crawford, offers 67 affordable multifamily units and 2.2 KSF dedicated to healthcare and medical care.
🏭 Industrial
Bulk boom: Demand for large industrial spaces shows steady growth, with the Western region leading bulk occupancy gains. Vacancy rates are expected to ease as new construction slows.
Condo innovation: Regal Ventures is exploring a unique approach by acquiring an industrial property in PA with a condo ownership model.
Revved up: Auto dealers Ali and Faisal Ahmed entered South Florida’s industrial sector with a $38.2M purchase of a Miami Lakes warehouse, a $16M gain for seller Brookfield (BN) in just four years.
🏬 RETAIL
Retail recession: Tampa Bay's retail leasing volumes fell by 35% to 1.25 MSF in the first half of 2024, with consecutive quarterly declines.
Financing frenzy: NYC's CRE financing dropped in September, totaling just $2B, with a Co-op City shopping center securing the largest loan at $280M.
Rethinking Madison Ave: The fashion mecca of the US, Madison Avenue in Manhattan, is seeing a luxury retail revival with new flagship stores and exclusive condos selling out very quickly.
🏢 OFFICE
Texas talent triumph: Simplilearn moved its HQ from San Francisco to Plano, Texas, citing a more diverse talent pool in the North Texas and DFW metroplex.
Amenity-rich: The Irvine Company invested $10M in amenities since buying 1 North Wacker in 2015, managing to secure a 10-year lease renewal with PwC.
Distressed deal: CBRE Group (CBRE) is seeking $80M for a non-performing $93M loan to Vanbarton Group, which would allow the buyer to control the San Francisco tower.
📈 CHART OF THE DAY
Multifamily building permits have dropped over 40% in more than half of the largest U.S. metros, as developers struggle with major challenges.
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