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Top Markets for Multifamily Investors in 2024

Nashville, Phoenix, and Austin were the top US cities for multifamily deals in 2024, thanks to their affordability and population growth.

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Good morning. Nashville, Phoenix, and Austin are the top US cities for multifamily investment in 2024, thanks to their post-pandemic affordability, economic diversity, and reliable population growth.

Today’s issue is brought to you by Lev — the data and workflow platform for CRE financing.

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Market Snapshot

S&P 500
GSPC
5,823.52
Pct Chg:
+0.027%
FTSE NAREIT
FNER
828.76
Pct Chg:
+0.34%
10Y Treasury
TNX
4.302%
Pct Chg:
+0.024
SOFR
30-DAY AVERAGE
4.96%
Pct Chg:
0.0%
*Data as of 10/28/2024 market close.

MARKET INSIGHTS

Top Markets for Multifamily Investors in 2024

As interest rates decline, multifamily investment is picking up, and a new report highlights the best places to invest.

Leading markets: According to the 2024 Multifamily Opportunity Matrix by Arbor-Chandan, Nashville, Phoenix, and Austin have emerged as the top three markets for multifamily investment.

Zoom in: Nashville takes the top spot, bolstered by favorable tax policies, a 1.5% population growth rate (triple the national average), and a low 2.5% unemployment rate. Phoenix comes in second, driven by a 3.1% jobless rate and a booming semiconductor sector. Austin ranks third, maintaining 2%+ population growth for 13 years, a youthful renter base, and no state income tax.

The runner-ups: Affordable Midwest cities like Indianapolis, Kansas City, and Columbus are also seeing a boost, fueled by migration to more cost-effective regions. Denver led the nation in per capita multifamily lending from July 2023 to June 2024, at $136.85 per person, followed by Columbus and Phoenix. Other strong contenders include Jacksonville, Dallas, Raleigh, and San Antonio.

Affordability rankings: Oklahoma City ranked as the most affordable market, with average rents at $1,366/month, allowing households earning $54,624 to avoid rent burden. In contrast, higher-cost cities like New York, San Jose, and San Francisco require six-figure incomes to maintain the same rent-to-income balance.

➥ THE TAKEAWAY

Looking ahead: As multifamily investors chase growth, it’s clear that affordability, economic resilience, and migration trends are reshaping the map—recrowning emerging Sun Belt and Midwest markets as the hotspots for smarter capital deployment.

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✍️ Editor’s Picks

  • Back on top: Manhattan's CRE market saw $3.2B in sales volume and 80 transactions in Q3 alone, with Avison Young predicting an overall 16% increase by the end of the year.

  • M&A moves: CoStar Group (CSGP) acquired startup Visual Lease for $272.5M to enhance lease management solutions and analytics database integration.

  • Building blocks: New research from the Atlanta Fed suggests that streamlining permitting processes could help ease the U.S. housing supply shortage and potentially lower rents.

  • Sinking Cohen: Charles Cohen is facing down a $187M guarantee claim by Fortress, and is now risking foreclosure on several assets including theaters, hotels, and his yacht.

🏘️ MULTIFAMILY

  • Ugly numbers: NY Community Bank (NYCB) still faces financial strain after reporting a 990% YTD increase in delinquent multifamily loans totaling $1.5B.

  • Age-old problem: NYC's famous (and infamous) housing market still faces limited new construction. Although new building filings were up 10% in Q3, they are still 43% below the long-term average.

  • Affordable transformation: Ethos Real Estate acquired San Mateo's Hillsdale Garden Apartments for $252.4M, converting 697 market-rate units to affordable housing.

  • Making waves: PMG acquired a $19.2M co-op at 900 Intracoastal Drive in Fort Lauderdale to build a 44-unit Sage Intracoastal Residences.

  • Healthy homes, happy hearts: The NRP Group’s new Fort Worth development, Thrive on Crawford, offers 67 affordable multifamily units and 2.2 KSF dedicated to healthcare and medical care.

🏭 Industrial

  • Bulk boom: Demand for large industrial spaces shows steady growth, with the Western region leading bulk occupancy gains. Vacancy rates are expected to ease as new construction slows.

  • Condo innovation: Regal Ventures is exploring a unique approach by acquiring an industrial property in PA with a condo ownership model.

  • Revved up: Auto dealers Ali and Faisal Ahmed entered South Florida’s industrial sector with a $38.2M purchase of a Miami Lakes warehouse, a $16M gain for seller Brookfield (BN) in just four years.

🏬 RETAIL

  • Retail recession: Tampa Bay's retail leasing volumes fell by 35% to 1.25 MSF in the first half of 2024, with consecutive quarterly declines.

  • Financing frenzy: NYC's CRE financing dropped in September, totaling just $2B, with a Co-op City shopping center securing the largest loan at $280M.

  • Rethinking Madison Ave: The fashion mecca of the US, Madison Avenue in Manhattan, is seeing a luxury retail revival with new flagship stores and exclusive condos selling out very quickly.

🏢 OFFICE

  • Texas talent triumph: Simplilearn moved its HQ from San Francisco to Plano, Texas, citing a more diverse talent pool in the North Texas and DFW metroplex.

  • Amenity-rich: The Irvine Company invested $10M in amenities since buying 1 North Wacker in 2015, managing to secure a 10-year lease renewal with PwC.

  • Distressed deal: CBRE Group (CBRE) is seeking $80M for a non-performing $93M loan to Vanbarton Group, which would allow the buyer to control the San Francisco tower.


📈 CHART OF THE DAY

Multifamily building permits have dropped over 40% in more than half of the largest U.S. metros, as developers struggle with major challenges.


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