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Trump Considers Taking Fannie and Freddie Public—Again
Fannie and Freddie shares are soaring, but so are concerns about the future of affordable mortgages.
Good morning. Trump is weighing a long-awaited IPO for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, potentially ending over a decade of government control. The move could unlock billions, but also stir uncertainty in the housing market.
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Market Snapshot
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IPO Watch
Trump Considers Taking Fannie and Freddie Public—Again
Mortgage markets just got a jolt from Trump, as talk of taking Fannie and Freddie gained fresh momentum. This time it’s about going public.
Back on the table: President Trump said he is giving "very serious consideration" to spinning off mortgage giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac—two firms that have remained under federal conservatorship since their 2008 bailout. Trump cited strong financial performance and high cash flow as reasons the timing may be right.
Market euphoria: Following Trump’s social media post, OTC shares of Fannie and Freddie surged to levels not seen since 2008. Fannie Mae jumped 33% to $9.94, while Freddie Mac rose 27% to $7.15. The rally extends a broader run-up since Trump's election, with both stocks up more than 260% over the past year.
Big stakes, bigger ambitions: The US Treasury still holds preferred shares and warrants for about 80% of the firms' common stock. A spin-off could generate over $250B in returns for the government, according to analysts. A proposal under discussion would include raising $20–$30B in new capital through an IPO-like process.
Not their first rodeo: This isn’t the first time Trump has floated privatizing the GSEs. Efforts during his first term stalled amid regulatory and market concerns. Now, the revived plan involves discussions with Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick, and FHFA Director William Pulte.
What’s at stake: Fannie and Freddie play a critical role in keeping mortgage markets liquid by buying loans from lenders and repackaging them into government-guaranteed securities. Critics caution that removing that backstop could “break” a system that, despite its flaws, underpins 60%+ of the mortgage market.
➥ THE TAKEAWAY
Risk ahead: Analysts warn that removing the government guarantee could lead to a credit downgrade, reducing demand for mortgage-backed securities, and raising mortgage rates for homebuyers. Without a clear transition plan, the move risks trading short-term political wins for long-term financial instability.
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✍️ Editor’s Picks
Cash for space: WareSpace is buying industrial, flex, and retail: 50–250K SF with near-term vacancy. Fast closings, all cash—and a $1/SF broker bonus through 12/31/25. (sponsored)
Holding steady: CRE posted a strong Q1 as multifamily and industrial deals surged, fueled by lower interest rates and improved lending conditions.
Renter retention: With high mortgage rates, economic volatility, and affordability barriers, apartment renters are renewing leases at near-record levels.
REIT resilience: REITs posted stable Q125 results, with strong balance sheets, low leverage, and rising NOI and FFO.
Project pause: Rising construction costs and tariff-driven uncertainty are fueling a surge in delays and cancellations, with 35% of US contractors reporting major disruptions to projects in Q125.
Alts in focus: Private placement REITs and BDCs surpassed $85B in combined NAV in Q125, driven by strong fundraising and growing investor demand for alternatives.
Premium pressure: State Farm is pushing for a 30% home insurance rate hike in California following wildfire losses, fueling public backlash.
🏘️ MULTIFAMILY
Brooklyn boom: NYC multifamily building permits jumped 65% in Q125, led by Brooklyn, as developers rush to capitalize on tax incentives.
Resident retention: Camden posted one of its lowest-ever turnover rates in Q125 as renters stayed put amid economic uncertainty.
Rent vs. own: Apartments.com data shows coastal cities like Miami and NYC remain renter-heavy due to high home costs, while places like Mesa and El Paso favor ownership thanks to greater affordability.
BTR expansion: Blackstone’s Tricon Residential is opening a 114-home BTR community in Sacramento’s Rancho Cordova, part of a broader $1B push into SFRs.
Meta retreat: Meta has quietly scaled back its $1B affordable housing pledge in Menlo Park, with little progress since 2022 and no construction timeline set.
🏭 Industrial
Tariff shelter: Surging tariff uncertainty is driving a boom in bonded warehouse conversions, as companies seek flexibility to delay duty payments and manage volatile trade costs.
Shipyard revival: South Korea’s Hanwha Group is investing $70M to supercharge ship production at Philadelphia’s Navy Yard, aiming to scale output 10x.
Motor City move: Stellantis is investing $388M to build a 2 MSF parts distribution center in Metro Detroit as part of a broader strategy to consolidate and modernize its supply chain operations.
🏬 RETAIL
Retail rebound: US retail investment surged 13% YoY in Q125, led by grocery-anchored centers and urban flagship deals, reflecting strong demand for stable, necessity-driven assets.
Fifth facelift: NYC is investing over $400M to transform Fifth Avenue into a more pedestrian-friendly, globally competitive retail boulevard.
Consumer retreat: Target’s Q125 earnings fell short as tariffs, consumer backlash over DEI rollbacks, and weak discretionary spending drove a 3.8% sales drop.
🏢 OFFICE
Office optimism: Investor interest in US office properties is rebounding as falling valuations hit a point of renewed appeal.
Urban strain: CBD office markets continue to struggle in 2025 with 19.2% vacancy, falling rents, and declining development.
Bay bargain: Hines and Oaktree sold the Ygnacio Center office campus in Walnut Creek for $111M, nearly half its 2018 purchase price.
Legal footprint: Law firms doubled their US office leasing in Q125 to 3.4 MSF, favoring renewals and long-term deals in top markets like NYC and LA.
🏨 HOSPITALITY
Mega debut: The $1.3B Gaylord Pacific Resort opened in Chula Vista with 1,600 rooms and massive event space, setting off a wave of development and economic momentum in the South Bay.
Luxury collabs: High-end hotels are boosting revenue and brand prestige by partnering with celebrity chefs and acclaimed restaurateurs to create signature dining experiences.
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📈 CHART OF THE DAY

In Q125, health care led all sectors in annual growth and saw the second-highest quarterly gain, while telecomm posted the strongest quarterly increase, climbing to the second-largest allocation. Meanwhile, industrial and retail saw the steepest declines, with industrial down 3.1 points annually and retail dropping 2.4 points YoY.

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